PFL vs. Bellator Main Event Breakdown

On Thursday, the PFL vs. Bellator main event this Saturday night got even more interesting. During an appearance on SportsCenter on PFL rightsholder ESPN, Francis Ngannou mentioned that he’ll fight either Ferreira or Bader in his MMA return later this year.

PFL vs. Bellator Main Event Fighter Comparison and Betting Odds

Heading into the PFL vs. Bellator main event on Saturday night, Renan Ferreira stands as the taller man at 6-foot-8, compared to the 6-foot-2 frame of Ryan Bader. Ferreira owns a sizable 11-inch reach advantage (85 inches to 74 inches) over Bader.

Oddsmakers have this one listed as a pick-’em. Ferreira has -115 odds on the money line, with Bader countering at -105. If you plan on betting on this or any other fight happening this weekend, please wager responsibly.

Ferreira Wants Ngannou Next Time Out

Renan Ferreira enters the PFL vs. Bellator main event having posted a record of 4-1 with one no-contest in his last five fights. At present, he’s on a four-fight unbeaten streak.

Over the Thanksgiving weekend, he scored a second-round knockout of Denis Goltsov (32-8 MMA, 10-3 PFL) in the PFL 10 co-main event. Even before Francis Ngannou threw his hat into the ring for a fight against Saturday’s winner, Ferreira pleaded the case that he should be the guy.

“For me, this fight makes sense because I’m the best heavyweight of the world,” Ferreira said, through his translator on Nov. 24. “I’m the right guy to welcome him to the PFL.”

With a victory here, Renan Ferreira gets his wish. He has to take it one moment at a time, though, and it starts with the PFL vs. Bellator main event.

Ryan Bader Returns for First Fight in 55 Weeks Saturday

In the other corner, Ryan Bader has gone 4-1 in his last five fights. Currently, he’s on a three-fight winning streak, but it’s been a long time since he’s last fought.

Back on Feb. 4, 2023, he scored a first-round knockout (ground and pound shots) of Fedor Emelianenko (40-7, 1 NC MMA, 4-3 Bellator) in Bellator 290’s main event on CBS, his retirement fight.

After, Bader had been set to return for the landmark Bellator 300 on Oct. 7 against Linton Vassell (24-8 MMA, 12-5 Bellator) in San Diego, but Vassell had to withdraw from that card amid experiencing COVID-19 symptoms just days before the show.

Ryan Bader will have been out of the cage for exactly 55 weeks by the time the PFL vs. Bellator main event begins on Saturday night. How much ring rust has he had to shake off ahead of this one?

Analysis, Film Study, and Prediction

These fighters are so evenly-matched. This is everything that a good heavyweight fight should be, since both Ferreira and Bader can score the knockout.

Ferreira Can Battle Back if Needed

Sometimes in a fight, a competitor will have to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. Ferreira’s fight against Goltsov on Black Friday is a textbook example.

While Goltsov was the aggressor in round one with his attempts to submit Ferreira, the latter took charge right after round two began. He landed a trio of right-handed punches to knock Goltsov down, peppering him with a flurry of hammerfists to end the fight less than 30 seconds into the period.

Should Bader dominate Ferreira in the early going, he’s got the skills needed to flip the script.

Bader Can Move Quickly

In the other corner, Ryan Bader is equally adept when it comes to landing the knockout. At times, it can come suddenly and it’s devastating, like it was in 2018 vs. Muhammad Lawal, a.k.a., King Mo.

Right after the command to fight was given, Bader uncorked a vicious left-handed shot to drop Lawal on the mat, moving into finish with a burst of ground shots. Time of the knockout: Just 15 blistering seconds.

All it will take Ryan Bader is a single punch landed right on the button. If he lands the first crisp shot of the fight, the PFL vs. Bellator main event will be done and dusted immediately after.

Final Thoughts

As we’ve chronicled in our film study today, there’s a constant among heavyweight fights in this sport: One punch can end the show. Will that hold true again on Saturday? Tune into the PFL vs. Bellator main event and find out.

Prediction: Ryan Bader by First-Round Knockout.