With less than two months remaining until the NHL’s March 3 trade deadline, let's focus on Arizona Coyotes defenseman Jakob Chychrun.
Power Play Specialist, Middle Pair
Chychrun did not make the Daily Faceoff Archetype Rankings in the Top 20 as either a Puck Mover or Shutdown Defender, so the question is, what exactly is his identity? Chychrun is best suited to play in a team’s middle pair and be used as an elite shot threat on the power play.
There is no question Chychrun produces offense from the back end when healthy. He is on pace for a 17-goal season this year after returning from two offseason surgeries on Nov. 21. Over the last five years, Chychrun is fourth in goals per 60 minutes by defensemen, trailing only Roman Josi, Dougie Hamilton, and Cale Makar. His offensive prowess can be contributed to a few things. He has an extremely hard and accurate shot coupled with a quick release, which makes him a threat from distance, especially through traffic. He has good hands for a big man, so he can collect the puck, change the angle and let it fly. Finally, he does a great job at positioning himself to take shots before the puck arrives, saving himself valuable time which allows him to assess where he wants to place the puck before getting it.
Chychrun’s strength is also a huge asset. He is known as one of the more fit players in the league. When he engages on time, he can win puck battles and kickstart the breakout, or he can protect the puck in the offensive zone to make small plays to his forwards.
That strength also translates to his skating. The son of a former NHLer, Chychrun is a powerful skater with good mobility. His feet allow him to gap well through the neutral zone and challenge offenses. When pucks are dumped in behind him, he can turn and retrieve them without the forecheck doing too much damage. His fluid skating also allows him to recover when he gets in trouble for being too aggressive or making the wrong read.
Buyer Beware: Teams believe Chychrun is an average middle-pair guy as a defender. He tends to be overly aggressive, especially without the puck on the offensive blueline. While some coaches love defenders that cut off offense early and often, Chychrun’s reads can sometimes get him in trouble, allowing the opposition to gain speed and make him turn. In the defensive zone, Chychrun’s aggressive nature can lead him to over-pursue and take bad angles in coverage, causing breakdowns in tight and high-quality scoring chances. He can also get caught watching the puck, failing to recognize danger around him as the weak defender.
One thing opposing teams comment on is Chychrun’s inability to transport pucks out of danger. He struggles to make plays under pressure. Chychrun is known to rim the puck around the boards or throw away possession when he fails to see through the forecheck to find strong outlet passes.
At the offensive end, Chychrun does produce offense at a steady clip, but it’s not because he is a facilitator or is naturally deceptive. He is a cannon that is continually reloaded. He gets the puck through and to the net hard, either scoring himself on the first chance or creating second chances for teammates.
That is an attractive option, for sure, but acquiring teams would probably have to then commit to using Chychrun on the second unit power play – unless they’re willing to go with two defensemen on the top unit. But so many teams use four forwards on the first unit and Chychrun needs someone to facilitate or quarterback the power play and to get it to him.
Perhaps most importantly, the biggest concern any acquiring club would have is health. Over the past six years, he missed a whopping 119 games. He’s had significant knee, ankle, shoulder, and wrist injuries, many requiring surgery. Dependability and reliability are some of the biggest abilities in the NHL and while his fitness and strength have allowed him to overcome them to this point, his history should be considered.
Other Defensemen Available: RD John Klingberg (Anaheim), LD Vladislav Gavrikov (Columbus), LD Mattias Ekholm (Nashville), RD Erik Karlsson (San Jose), LD Shayne Gostisbehere (Arizona), LD Jake McCabe (Chicago), LD Joel Edmundson (Montreal).
Potentially available defensemen: LD Cam Fowler (Anaheim), RD Matt Dumba (Minnesota).
Pending free agents this summer: RD Damon Severson (New Jersey), Klingberg, Gavrikov, Gostisbehere.
There have been very few trades involving young, cost-controlled defensemen with two-plus years remaining on their contract at the NHL’s trade deadline.
Arizona Coyotes GM Bill Armstrong is reportedly asking for two first-round picks (or a first-round pick and the equivalent of a first-round pick as in a former first-rounder) plus one second-round pick.
July 23, 2021
To Chicago: Seth Jones, 2021 First-Round Pick (Nolan Allen), 2022 6th Round Pick (Dominic James)
To Columbus: Adam Boqvist, 2021 first-round Pick (Cole Sillinger), 2021 second-round Pick (Aleksi Heimosalmi), 2022 first-round Pick (David Jiricek),
At the time of this deal, Jones was 26 and had one more season remaining at $5.4 million AAV. The Blue Jackets turned him into a deal for one first-round pick, one first-round pick equivalent (Boqvist was No. 8 overall in 2018), one second-round pick, and a pick swap in the 2021 Draft that moved them up 20 spots and allowed them to select Sillinger.
Here’s the thing: There probably isn’t anyone who believes that Jones and Chychrun are in the same tier of quality as defensemen. Chychrun isn’t as well-rounded or reliable as Jones. Yes, Chychrun would have an extra year and a half on his deal as opposed to Jones at the time of the trade, but that doesn’t make up for the gap in play.
Working off that deal as a ceiling, it seems Arizona would do well to get a combination of high-round picks, such as a first and second in this year’s Draft, plus a Grade A prospect. That’s probably a bit less than what Armstrong has set as his price. To be sure, Armstrong doesn’t have to blink. He doesn’t have to trade Chychrun, though the player has made it clear he’d like to move on, and Armstrong will probably want to do it before Chychrun gains some level of control this summer when his ‘no-trade’ protection kicks in.
June 26, 2015
To Calgary: Dougie Hamilton
To Boston: 2015 first-Round Pick, 2015 second-round Pick, 2015 second-round Pick
This also isn’t an apples-to-apples comparison, because Hamilton was a pending RFA in need of a new contract. He inked a six-year, $34.5 million deal with the Flames four days later for an AAV of $5.75 million. Chychrun has a term on his deal, of course, which changes the equation.
Chychrun is a solid defenseman who is paid appropriately for what he brings to your team when healthy. The surplus value Chychrun presented in a flat cap environment will diminish a bit as the salary cap increases, likely this summer. But it’s going to be difficult for any team to justify adding Chychrun at the costs outlined above when he is not going to be your best all-around defenseman. It’s been an old-fashioned desert stare-down between Armstrong and interested parties. Someone will have to blink, either Arizona’s asking price or the teams to this point unwilling to pay it after more than a calendar year on the market.
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